Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
$54,765 Vol.
$54,765 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
4%
$54,765 Vol.
$54,765 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
$29,905 Vol.
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
$24,860 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$54,765Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,765Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains a commanding lead in the NY-14 House race due to her status as incumbent in a district rated solidly Democratic, where she captured 86.9% in the June 2026 Democratic primary and previously won the general election by over 33 points. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj, who ran unopposed in his primary, trails significantly amid a wide fundraising gap exceeding $32 million to under $350,000. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Ocasio-Cortez reflects these fundamentals and historical voting patterns in the Queens and Bronx portions of the district. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-breaking national political shifts, a major candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout, though the structural advantages make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti