Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 93.5 percent. The district’s D+1 partisan lean, combined with Lee’s consistent fundraising edge and primary performance exceeding 69 percent, underpins the market’s assessment. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Lean Democratic, consistent with her narrow but repeated general-election victories in 2022 and 2024. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and substantial self-funding have not shifted the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican surge, late-breaking controversies affecting Lee, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger in this Las Vegas-area battleground.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Susie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Susie Lee (D)
$4,116 Vol.
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
$2,022 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 93.5 percent. The district’s D+1 partisan lean, combined with Lee’s consistent fundraising edge and primary performance exceeding 69 percent, underpins the market’s assessment. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Lean Democratic, consistent with her narrow but repeated general-election victories in 2022 and 2024. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and substantial self-funding have not shifted the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican surge, late-breaking controversies affecting Lee, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger in this Las Vegas-area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$6,138Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 93.5 percent. The district’s D+1 partisan lean, combined with Lee’s consistent fundraising edge and primary performance exceeding 69 percent, underpins the market’s assessment. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Lean Democratic, consistent with her narrow but repeated general-election victories in 2022 and 2024. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and substantial self-funding have not shifted the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican surge, late-breaking controversies affecting Lee, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger in this Las Vegas-area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,138Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding lead in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her at 93.5 percent. The district’s D+1 partisan lean, combined with Lee’s consistent fundraising edge and primary performance exceeding 69 percent, underpins the market’s assessment. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Lean Democratic, consistent with her narrow but repeated general-election victories in 2022 and 2024. Martin O’Donnell’s Trump endorsement and substantial self-funding have not shifted the baseline. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican surge, late-breaking controversies affecting Lee, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger in this Las Vegas-area battleground.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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