Maggie Goodlander secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80% in the September 8 primary, setting up a rematch against Lily Tang Williams, who prevailed in a crowded Republican field. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, a district held by Democrats since 2012, and consistent polling leads of 15 points or more in recent surveys. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the structural edge for the sitting member in a district with balanced partisan registration and a history of narrow but favorable margins for the party. Trader consensus at 92.7% for Goodlander aligns with these indicators. A major national political shift, late scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$16,733 Vol.
$16,733 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Maggie Goodlander (D)
93%
Lily Tang Williams (R)
7%
$16,733 Vol.
$16,733 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Maggie Goodlander (D)
$7,868 Vol.
93%
Lily Tang Williams (R)
$8,864 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maggie Goodlander secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80% in the September 8 primary, setting up a rematch against Lily Tang Williams, who prevailed in a crowded Republican field. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, a district held by Democrats since 2012, and consistent polling leads of 15 points or more in recent surveys. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the structural edge for the sitting member in a district with balanced partisan registration and a history of narrow but favorable margins for the party. Trader consensus at 92.7% for Goodlander aligns with these indicators. A major national political shift, late scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,733Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maggie Goodlander secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80% in the September 8 primary, setting up a rematch against Lily Tang Williams, who prevailed in a crowded Republican field. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, a district held by Democrats since 2012, and consistent polling leads of 15 points or more in recent surveys. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the structural edge for the sitting member in a district with balanced partisan registration and a history of narrow but favorable margins for the party. Trader consensus at 92.7% for Goodlander aligns with these indicators. A major national political shift, late scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,733Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Maggie Goodlander secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80% in the September 8 primary, setting up a rematch against Lily Tang Williams, who prevailed in a crowded Republican field. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, a district held by Democrats since 2012, and consistent polling leads of 15 points or more in recent surveys. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the structural edge for the sitting member in a district with balanced partisan registration and a history of narrow but favorable margins for the party. Trader consensus at 92.7% for Goodlander aligns with these indicators. A major national political shift, late scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited movement in that direction ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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