Minnesota's 4th congressional district, covering much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and has remained in Democratic hands continuously since 1949. Incumbent Betty McCollum secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 86 percent of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, while Republican Paul Wikstrom advanced with 73 percent. McCollum's consistent general-election margins, including 67 percent in 2024, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus on her strong position. Potential shifts could arise from substantial national political realignment or late-cycle developments before the November 3, 2026, general election, though structural factors limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
96%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
4%
$24,286 Vol.
$24,286 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Betty McCollum (D)
$4,052 Vol.
96%
Paul Wikstrom (R)
$20,235 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district, covering much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and has remained in Democratic hands continuously since 1949. Incumbent Betty McCollum secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 86 percent of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, while Republican Paul Wikstrom advanced with 73 percent. McCollum's consistent general-election margins, including 67 percent in 2024, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus on her strong position. Potential shifts could arise from substantial national political realignment or late-cycle developments before the November 3, 2026, general election, though structural factors limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,286Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district, covering much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and has remained in Democratic hands continuously since 1949. Incumbent Betty McCollum secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 86 percent of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, while Republican Paul Wikstrom advanced with 73 percent. McCollum's consistent general-election margins, including 67 percent in 2024, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus on her strong position. Potential shifts could arise from substantial national political realignment or late-cycle developments before the November 3, 2026, general election, though structural factors limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,286Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th congressional district, covering much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in the Twin Cities metro, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and has remained in Democratic hands continuously since 1949. Incumbent Betty McCollum secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 86 percent of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, while Republican Paul Wikstrom advanced with 73 percent. McCollum's consistent general-election margins, including 67 percent in 2024, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus on her strong position. Potential shifts could arise from substantial national political realignment or late-cycle developments before the November 3, 2026, general election, though structural factors limit realistic paths for the challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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