Ed Markey’s commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by his decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1 and endorsements from prominent progressives. Polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in the commonwealth where Democrats have dominated federal contests. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds as an underdog seeking to overcome party registration gaps and voter patterns established in prior cycles. Trader consensus pricing the outcome near 97 percent for Markey reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Massachusetts
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Massachusetts
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
97%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,054 Vol.
97%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ed Markey’s commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by his decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1 and endorsements from prominent progressives. Polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in the commonwealth where Democrats have dominated federal contests. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds as an underdog seeking to overcome party registration gaps and voter patterns established in prior cycles. Trader consensus pricing the outcome near 97 percent for Markey reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$48,024Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ed Markey’s commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by his decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1 and endorsements from prominent progressives. Polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in the commonwealth where Democrats have dominated federal contests. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds as an underdog seeking to overcome party registration gaps and voter patterns established in prior cycles. Trader consensus pricing the outcome near 97 percent for Markey reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$48,024Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Ed Markey’s commanding position in the Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by his decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1 and endorsements from prominent progressives. Polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in the commonwealth where Democrats have dominated federal contests. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural headwinds as an underdog seeking to overcome party registration gaps and voter patterns established in prior cycles. Trader consensus pricing the outcome near 97 percent for Markey reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or sharp national realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this solidly Democratic environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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