The closely matched leading bins in this Massachusetts Senate turnout market reflect trader expectations of subdued participation in a low-competition midterm general election. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey defeated primary challenger Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points on September 1, while Republican John Deaton ran unopposed, leaving the November contest with limited statewide excitement. Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin has stated that the primary will not produce unusually high turnout, consistent with typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state where recent presidential margins exceeded 24 points. Early voting volumes, mail ballot returns, and historical patterns in non-presidential years continue to anchor assessments around the 2.65M–2.95M ranges, with few catalysts yet to separate the probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2,8M-2,95M 37%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,5M-2,65M 16%
2,95M-3,1M 10%
<2,2M
2%
2,2M-2,35M
6%
2,35M–2,5M
5%
2,5M-2,65M
16%
2,65M-2,8M
32%
2,8M-2,95M
37%
2,95M-3,1M
10%
3,1M+
8%
2,8M-2,95M 37%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,5M-2,65M 16%
2,95M-3,1M 10%
<2,2M
2%
2,2M-2,35M
6%
2,35M–2,5M
5%
2,5M-2,65M
16%
2,65M-2,8M
32%
2,8M-2,95M
37%
2,95M-3,1M
10%
3,1M+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched leading bins in this Massachusetts Senate turnout market reflect trader expectations of subdued participation in a low-competition midterm general election. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey defeated primary challenger Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points on September 1, while Republican John Deaton ran unopposed, leaving the November contest with limited statewide excitement. Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin has stated that the primary will not produce unusually high turnout, consistent with typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state where recent presidential margins exceeded 24 points. Early voting volumes, mail ballot returns, and historical patterns in non-presidential years continue to anchor assessments around the 2.65M–2.95M ranges, with few catalysts yet to separate the probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il senatore del Maine sarà inferiore a 600.000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di medio termine del 2026 per il Senatore della Florida sarà compreso tra 8.000.000 e 8.250.000?
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