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icon for Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne

Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne

icon for Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne

Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne

1,2M-1,3M 36%

1,4M-1,5M 18%

1,3M-1,4M 14.1%

1,7M+ 10.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO

1,2M-1,3M 36%

1,4M-1,5M 18%

1,3M-1,4M 14.1%

1,7M+ 10.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<1,1M

$95 Vol.

7%

1,1M-1,2M

$876 Vol.

1%

1,2M-1,3M

$95 Vol.

36%

1,3M-1,4M

$115 Vol.

14%

1,4M-1,5M

$160 Vol.

18%

1,5M-1,6M

$1,204 Vol.

5%

1,6M-1,7M

$264 Vol.

6%

1,7M+

$160 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana's November 3 general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow, heavily favored after her June runoff victory, against Democrat Jamie Davis in a solidly Republican state. Trader consensus centers on the 1.2M-1.3M turnout range amid expectations of subdued participation typical of low-competition contests. Primary and runoff voting earlier this year posted notably low participation—around 17% statewide in the June runoffs—reflecting limited enthusiasm under the new semi-closed party primary rules. With no major campaign developments or national events driving mobilization in recent weeks, reduced Democratic turnout and steady but unexceptional Republican participation appear to anchor probabilities around mid-1.2 million total ballots. Historical midterm patterns in the state further support moderate overall engagement absent a tighter race.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana's November 3 general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow, heavily favored after her June runoff victory, against Democrat Jamie Davis in a solidly Republican state. Trader consensus centers on the 1.2M-1.3M turnout range amid expectations of subdued participation typical of low-competition contests. Primary and runoff voting earlier this year posted notably low participation—around 17% statewide in the June runoffs—reflecting limited enthusiasm under the new semi-closed party primary rules. With no major campaign developments or national events driving mobilization in recent weeks, reduced Democratic turnout and steady but unexceptional Republican participation appear to anchor probabilities around mid-1.2 million total ballots. Historical midterm patterns in the state further support moderate overall engagement absent a tighter race.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "1,2M-1,3M" a 36%, seguito da "1,4M-1,5M" a 18%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 36¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 18, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne" è "1,2M-1,3M" a 36%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "1,4M-1,5M" a 18%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato della Louisiana: affluenza alle urne" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.