Incumbent Bill Keating's decisive Democratic primary win and the Massachusetts 9th District's established partisan composition anchor trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November general election. Keating secured roughly 80 percent of the primary vote against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, preserving his long record of reelection in a district that includes Cape Cod, the Islands, and South Coast communities. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical results and limited Republican infrastructure. Tyler MacAllister, who advanced unopposed from the Republican primary, brings local select board experience but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds typical for challengers in this area. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outlook, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-09 House Election Winner
MA-09 House Election Winner
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
5%
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
$8,275 Vol.
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
$14,989 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating's decisive Democratic primary win and the Massachusetts 9th District's established partisan composition anchor trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November general election. Keating secured roughly 80 percent of the primary vote against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, preserving his long record of reelection in a district that includes Cape Cod, the Islands, and South Coast communities. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical results and limited Republican infrastructure. Tyler MacAllister, who advanced unopposed from the Republican primary, brings local select board experience but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds typical for challengers in this area. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outlook, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,264Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating's decisive Democratic primary win and the Massachusetts 9th District's established partisan composition anchor trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November general election. Keating secured roughly 80 percent of the primary vote against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, preserving his long record of reelection in a district that includes Cape Cod, the Islands, and South Coast communities. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical results and limited Republican infrastructure. Tyler MacAllister, who advanced unopposed from the Republican primary, brings local select board experience but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds typical for challengers in this area. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outlook, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,264Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bill Keating's decisive Democratic primary win and the Massachusetts 9th District's established partisan composition anchor trader consensus around his strong position heading into the November general election. Keating secured roughly 80 percent of the primary vote against challenger Craig Swallow on September 1, preserving his long record of reelection in a district that includes Cape Cod, the Islands, and South Coast communities. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical results and limited Republican infrastructure. Tyler MacAllister, who advanced unopposed from the Republican primary, brings local select board experience but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds typical for challengers in this area. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could alter the outlook, though none have emerged in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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