The official Khamenei.ir X account and related profiles maintain a historically sparse posting cadence, averaging well under one original statement per day and remaining inactive on most days amid the post-succession environment following Ali Khamenei's 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's ascension. This pattern, reinforced by recent activity limited to occasional archival or low-volume updates on regional tensions and appointments, underpins trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the seven-day window. Potential shifts could arise from acute diplomatic escalations, formal leadership addresses on sanctions or military matters, or expanded use of affiliated channels, though such catalysts have not materialized in comparable recent intervals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts 4 settembre - 11 settembre 2026?
Khamenei # posts 4 settembre - 11 settembre 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$20,220 Vol.
$20,220 Vol.
11 set 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$20,220 Vol.
$20,220 Vol.
11 set 2026
<5
$5,828 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$2,948 Vol.
No
10-14
$3,244 Vol.
No
15-19
$2,359 Vol.
No
20-24
$921 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,186 Vol.
No
30-34
$1,437 Vol.
No
35-39
$448 Vol.
No
40-44
$344 Vol.
No
45-49
$380 Vol.
No
50-54
$392 Vol.
No
55-59
$339 Vol.
No
60+
$394 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official Khamenei.ir X account and related profiles maintain a historically sparse posting cadence, averaging well under one original statement per day and remaining inactive on most days amid the post-succession environment following Ali Khamenei's 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's ascension. This pattern, reinforced by recent activity limited to occasional archival or low-volume updates on regional tensions and appointments, underpins trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the seven-day window. Potential shifts could arise from acute diplomatic escalations, formal leadership addresses on sanctions or military matters, or expanded use of affiliated channels, though such catalysts have not materialized in comparable recent intervals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$20,220Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official Khamenei.ir X account and related profiles maintain a historically sparse posting cadence, averaging well under one original statement per day and remaining inactive on most days amid the post-succession environment following Ali Khamenei's 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's ascension. This pattern, reinforced by recent activity limited to occasional archival or low-volume updates on regional tensions and appointments, underpins trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the seven-day window. Potential shifts could arise from acute diplomatic escalations, formal leadership addresses on sanctions or military matters, or expanded use of affiliated channels, though such catalysts have not materialized in comparable recent intervals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$20,220Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
The official Khamenei.ir X account and related profiles maintain a historically sparse posting cadence, averaging well under one original statement per day and remaining inactive on most days amid the post-succession environment following Ali Khamenei's 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's ascension. This pattern, reinforced by recent activity limited to occasional archival or low-volume updates on regional tensions and appointments, underpins trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the seven-day window. Potential shifts could arise from acute diplomatic escalations, formal leadership addresses on sanctions or military matters, or expanded use of affiliated channels, though such catalysts have not materialized in comparable recent intervals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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