**Trader consensus at 97.5% for “No” reflects the procedural timeline and legal hurdles facing the pending federal charges against former FBI Director James Comey.** An April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina alleges threats to the president based on a 2025 social-media post; arraignment is set for September 30 and trial for October 21. Comey has moved to continue both dates into 2027, a request the government does not oppose, which would push any verdict and sentencing beyond year-end. The earlier Virginia indictments were dismissed over an improper prosecutor appointment, with the Fourth Circuit appearing skeptical of revival efforts. Even if the North Carolina case proceeds on schedule, conviction is uncertain given First Amendment defenses and the interpretive nature of the “threat” allegations. Sentencing within the remaining months of 2026 would require an unusually rapid resolution after trial. Late-breaking developments such as an expedited trial or unexpected plea could still shift the outcome, but current scheduling and precedent make that outcome unlikely in traders’ assessment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
$159,309 Vol.
$159,309 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$159,309 Vol.
$159,309 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 97.5% for “No” reflects the procedural timeline and legal hurdles facing the pending federal charges against former FBI Director James Comey.** An April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina alleges threats to the president based on a 2025 social-media post; arraignment is set for September 30 and trial for October 21. Comey has moved to continue both dates into 2027, a request the government does not oppose, which would push any verdict and sentencing beyond year-end. The earlier Virginia indictments were dismissed over an improper prosecutor appointment, with the Fourth Circuit appearing skeptical of revival efforts. Even if the North Carolina case proceeds on schedule, conviction is uncertain given First Amendment defenses and the interpretive nature of the “threat” allegations. Sentencing within the remaining months of 2026 would require an unusually rapid resolution after trial. Late-breaking developments such as an expedited trial or unexpected plea could still shift the outcome, but current scheduling and precedent make that outcome unlikely in traders’ assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$159,309Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 97.5% for “No” reflects the procedural timeline and legal hurdles facing the pending federal charges against former FBI Director James Comey.** An April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina alleges threats to the president based on a 2025 social-media post; arraignment is set for September 30 and trial for October 21. Comey has moved to continue both dates into 2027, a request the government does not oppose, which would push any verdict and sentencing beyond year-end. The earlier Virginia indictments were dismissed over an improper prosecutor appointment, with the Fourth Circuit appearing skeptical of revival efforts. Even if the North Carolina case proceeds on schedule, conviction is uncertain given First Amendment defenses and the interpretive nature of the “threat” allegations. Sentencing within the remaining months of 2026 would require an unusually rapid resolution after trial. Late-breaking developments such as an expedited trial or unexpected plea could still shift the outcome, but current scheduling and precedent make that outcome unlikely in traders’ assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$159,309Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 97.5% for “No” reflects the procedural timeline and legal hurdles facing the pending federal charges against former FBI Director James Comey.** An April 2026 indictment in the Eastern District of North Carolina alleges threats to the president based on a 2025 social-media post; arraignment is set for September 30 and trial for October 21. Comey has moved to continue both dates into 2027, a request the government does not oppose, which would push any verdict and sentencing beyond year-end. The earlier Virginia indictments were dismissed over an improper prosecutor appointment, with the Fourth Circuit appearing skeptical of revival efforts. Even if the North Carolina case proceeds on schedule, conviction is uncertain given First Amendment defenses and the interpretive nature of the “threat” allegations. Sentencing within the remaining months of 2026 would require an unusually rapid resolution after trial. Late-breaking developments such as an expedited trial or unexpected plea could still shift the outcome, but current scheduling and precedent make that outcome unlikely in traders’ assessment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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