Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 of 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers following warmer conditions on September 20. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C (46%) and 18°C (27%), as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends showing a cooler air mass advecting into the region. Historical September highs average near 19°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the lower range, with minimal expected variance from diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies. Updated forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 21 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 21 settembre?
17°C 46%
18°C 29%
16°C 18%
19°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
18%
17°C
46%
18°C
29%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 46%
18°C 29%
16°C 18%
19°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$272 Vol.
3%
16°C
$2,234 Vol.
18%
17°C
$1,158 Vol.
46%
18°C
$1,466 Vol.
29%
19°C
$339 Vol.
7%
20°C
$117 Vol.
1%
21°C
$111 Vol.
1%
22°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,706 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$1,041 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 of 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers following warmer conditions on September 20. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C (46%) and 18°C (27%), as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends showing a cooler air mass advecting into the region. Historical September highs average near 19°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the lower range, with minimal expected variance from diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies. Updated forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,701Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 of 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers following warmer conditions on September 20. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C (46%) and 18°C (27%), as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends showing a cooler air mass advecting into the region. Historical September highs average near 19°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the lower range, with minimal expected variance from diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies. Updated forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,701Data di fine
21 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 of 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers following warmer conditions on September 20. This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C (46%) and 18°C (27%), as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observational trends showing a cooler air mass advecting into the region. Historical September highs average near 19°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the lower range, with minimal expected variance from diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies. Updated forecasts from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti