Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and WeatherBug indicate a daily high near 31–32°C (about 88–90°F) in Jinan on September 17 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region and places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, driving the market-implied near-100% probability. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures already climbing toward seasonal norms without signs of rapid cooling. The primary variables that could realistically alter this—such as an unexpected frontal passage or model error in boundary-layer mixing—appear minimal given consensus across runs, though traders monitor evening updates from the China Meteorological Administration for any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 17 settembre?
26°C o superiore 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,358 Vol.
$1,358 Vol.
16°C o inferiore
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
Sì
26°C o superiore 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,358 Vol.
$1,358 Vol.
16°C o inferiore
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
Sì
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and WeatherBug indicate a daily high near 31–32°C (about 88–90°F) in Jinan on September 17 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region and places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, driving the market-implied near-100% probability. Official observations through midday confirm temperatures already climbing toward seasonal norms without signs of rapid cooling. The primary variables that could realistically alter this—such as an unexpected frontal passage or model error in boundary-layer mixing—appear minimal given consensus across runs, though traders monitor evening updates from the China Meteorological Administration for any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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