Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida's 21st congressional district, an R+7 seat on the Treasure Coast that he carried with 61.8% in 2024. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $4.3 million raised and nearly $2.9 million cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee James Martin's roughly $579,000. Martin narrowly won his August 18 primary against Bernard Taylor by fewer than 400 votes. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Scenarios that could narrow Mast's lead include a major personal or ethical development, an unexpectedly strong Democratic national environment boosting turnout, or Martin closing the resource gap through late endorsements or outside spending ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-21 House Election Winner
$15,295 Vol.
$15,295 Vol.
Brian Mast (R)
91%
James Martin (D)
9%
$15,295 Vol.
$15,295 Vol.
Brian Mast (R)
91%
James Martin (D)
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida's 21st congressional district, an R+7 seat on the Treasure Coast that he carried with 61.8% in 2024. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $4.3 million raised and nearly $2.9 million cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee James Martin's roughly $579,000. Martin narrowly won his August 18 primary against Bernard Taylor by fewer than 400 votes. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. Scenarios that could narrow Mast's lead include a major personal or ethical development, an unexpectedly strong Democratic national environment boosting turnout, or Martin closing the resource gap through late endorsements or outside spending ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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