Florida's 19th Congressional District leans heavily Republican, as demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results and the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds's gubernatorial bid. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary amid a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates, positioning him as the consensus choice in a district where Republican nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Schwartzel reflects this baseline partisan advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district two months before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
$17,850 Vol.
$17,850 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Schwartzel (R)
95%
Victor Arias (D)
6%
$17,850 Vol.
$17,850 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Schwartzel (R)
$6,159 Vol.
95%
Victor Arias (D)
$11,691 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District leans heavily Republican, as demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results and the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds's gubernatorial bid. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary amid a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates, positioning him as the consensus choice in a district where Republican nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Schwartzel reflects this baseline partisan advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district two months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,850Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District leans heavily Republican, as demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results and the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds's gubernatorial bid. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary amid a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates, positioning him as the consensus choice in a district where Republican nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Schwartzel reflects this baseline partisan advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district two months before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,850Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th Congressional District leans heavily Republican, as demonstrated by the 2024 presidential results and the open seat created by incumbent Byron Donalds's gubernatorial bid. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary amid a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates, positioning him as the consensus choice in a district where Republican nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Schwartzel reflects this baseline partisan advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district two months before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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