Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCT-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
CT-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Himes (D)
96%
Michael Goldstein (R)
4%
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Himes (D)
$21,773 Vol.
96%
Michael Goldstein (R)
$25,567 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$47,340Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,340Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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