California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-38
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-38
$63,872 Vol.
$63,872 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hilda Solis (D)
95%
Pedro Casas (R)
1%
$63,872 Vol.
$63,872 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hilda Solis (D)
$32,210 Vol.
95%
Pedro Casas (R)
$31,662 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$63,872Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,872Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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