California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$25,535 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$24,373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$49,908Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,908Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 6th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, carries a D+5 partisan voter index and now favors Democrats in a Sacramento-area seat spanning parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties. In the June 2 top-two primary, Democrat Richard Pan advanced alongside independent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican registration to contest the more favorable map. Post-primary polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s voter composition and Democratic primary consolidation underpin traders’ strong consensus for the Democratic nominee heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as turnout surges among independents, candidate-specific scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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