Rui Costa holds a commanding lead in the Bahia Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 22-43% in recent surveys through early September 2026, far ahead of Jaques Wagner and opposition figures. His profile as former state governor and presidential chief of staff, combined with PT party machinery and the "Mais Bahia Mais Brasil" coalition, has solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 vote. The second seat remains more competitive among Wagner, João Roma, and Angelo Coronel, who poll within margins of error in the teens, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers from limited visibility and party resources. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could still shift narrower margins, though current data shows limited movement in the top tier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRui Costa 77%
Jaques Wagner 12.2%
João Roma 6.1%
Angelo Coronel 4.8%
$29,202 Vol.
$29,202 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Rui Costa
77%
Jaques Wagner
12%
João Roma
7%
Angelo Coronel
5%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professoressa Delliana
<1%
Rui Costa 77%
Jaques Wagner 12.2%
João Roma 6.1%
Angelo Coronel 4.8%
$29,202 Vol.
$29,202 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Rui Costa
$13,924 Vol.
77%
Jaques Wagner
$6,017 Vol.
12%
João Roma
$2,893 Vol.
7%
Angelo Coronel
$1,838 Vol.
5%
Carlos Sodré
$800 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$691 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$741 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$810 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$775 Vol.
<1%
Professoressa Delliana
$713 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa holds a commanding lead in the Bahia Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 22-43% in recent surveys through early September 2026, far ahead of Jaques Wagner and opposition figures. His profile as former state governor and presidential chief of staff, combined with PT party machinery and the "Mais Bahia Mais Brasil" coalition, has solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 vote. The second seat remains more competitive among Wagner, João Roma, and Angelo Coronel, who poll within margins of error in the teens, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers from limited visibility and party resources. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could still shift narrower margins, though current data shows limited movement in the top tier.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$29,202Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa holds a commanding lead in the Bahia Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 22-43% in recent surveys through early September 2026, far ahead of Jaques Wagner and opposition figures. His profile as former state governor and presidential chief of staff, combined with PT party machinery and the "Mais Bahia Mais Brasil" coalition, has solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 vote. The second seat remains more competitive among Wagner, João Roma, and Angelo Coronel, who poll within margins of error in the teens, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers from limited visibility and party resources. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could still shift narrower margins, though current data shows limited movement in the top tier.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$29,202Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Rui Costa holds a commanding lead in the Bahia Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages of 22-43% in recent surveys through early September 2026, far ahead of Jaques Wagner and opposition figures. His profile as former state governor and presidential chief of staff, combined with PT party machinery and the "Mais Bahia Mais Brasil" coalition, has solidified trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 vote. The second seat remains more competitive among Wagner, João Roma, and Angelo Coronel, who poll within margins of error in the teens, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers from limited visibility and party resources. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could still shift narrower margins, though current data shows limited movement in the top tier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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