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icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto

Marília Campos 55%

Aécio Neves 35.5%

Domingos Sávio 6.2%

Carlos Viana 1.8%

Polymarket

$45,057 Vol.

Marília Campos 55%

Aécio Neves 35.5%

Domingos Sávio 6.2%

Carlos Viana 1.8%

Polymarket

$45,057 Vol.

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$16,378 Vol.

55%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$4,424 Vol.

36%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$2,246 Vol.

6%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$8,991 Vol.

2%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$1,225 Vol.

6%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$3,119 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$1,199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$682 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$1,333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$552 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$648 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$643 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$702 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Campos maintains her position as the frontrunner for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate race, supported by consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest, where she registers 13–21% in consolidated voting intentions ahead of Aécio Neves. Her profile as former Contagem mayor with strong local approval underpins trader pricing, while Aécio’s late August confirmation of candidacy after an initial withdrawal has lifted him to 10–14% and narrowed gaps with Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, and Marcelo Aro. Technical ties among multiple contenders persist amid 29% undecided voters and 21% blank or null responses, with the October 4 election still allowing room for shifts from campaign events, alliances, or turnout patterns before final resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,057
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Campos maintains her position as the frontrunner for first place in the Minas Gerais Senate race, supported by consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest, where she registers 13–21% in consolidated voting intentions ahead of Aécio Neves. Her profile as former Contagem mayor with strong local approval underpins trader pricing, while Aécio’s late August confirmation of candidacy after an initial withdrawal has lifted him to 10–14% and narrowed gaps with Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, and Marcelo Aro. Technical ties among multiple contenders persist amid 29% undecided voters and 21% blank or null responses, with the October 4 election still allowing room for shifts from campaign events, alliances, or turnout patterns before final resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,057
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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69%
Sì
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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 18 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marília Campos" a 55%, seguito da "Aécio Neves" a 36%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 55¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" ha generato $45.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto", esplora i 18 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" è "Marília Campos" a 55%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Aécio Neves" a 36%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.