Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District general election due to the seat's strong Republican tilt and his decisive primary victory. The East Valley district, previously held by retiring Rep. Andy Biggs, supported Republican candidates by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. Lamb secured the GOP nomination with 58.7% against Daniel Keenan, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised compared to Elizabeth Lee's roughly $153,000. Lee advanced from the Democratic primary with 66% but faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as unforeseen turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could narrow the margin, though the current consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and Lamb's organizational advantages heading into November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-05 House Election Winner
AZ-05 House Election Winner
$36,462 Vol.
$36,462 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
9%
$36,462 Vol.
$36,462 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
$20,864 Vol.
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
$15,598 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District general election due to the seat's strong Republican tilt and his decisive primary victory. The East Valley district, previously held by retiring Rep. Andy Biggs, supported Republican candidates by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. Lamb secured the GOP nomination with 58.7% against Daniel Keenan, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised compared to Elizabeth Lee's roughly $153,000. Lee advanced from the Democratic primary with 66% but faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as unforeseen turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could narrow the margin, though the current consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and Lamb's organizational advantages heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$36,462Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District general election due to the seat's strong Republican tilt and his decisive primary victory. The East Valley district, previously held by retiring Rep. Andy Biggs, supported Republican candidates by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. Lamb secured the GOP nomination with 58.7% against Daniel Keenan, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised compared to Elizabeth Lee's roughly $153,000. Lee advanced from the Democratic primary with 66% but faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as unforeseen turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could narrow the margin, though the current consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and Lamb's organizational advantages heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,462Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 5th Congressional District general election due to the seat's strong Republican tilt and his decisive primary victory. The East Valley district, previously held by retiring Rep. Andy Biggs, supported Republican candidates by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. Lamb secured the GOP nomination with 58.7% against Daniel Keenan, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised compared to Elizabeth Lee's roughly $153,000. Lee advanced from the Democratic primary with 66% but faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as unforeseen turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could narrow the margin, though the current consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and Lamb's organizational advantages heading into November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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