Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera AR-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera AR-01
$26,590 Vol.
$26,590 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
98%
Terri Green (D)
1%
$26,590 Vol.
$26,590 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
$16,331 Vol.
98%
Terri Green (D)
$10,259 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$26,590Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,590Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Crawford advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with reports showing roughly $944,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green’s approximately $65,000. No significant shifts in candidate strength, polling, or district dynamics have emerged since the primaries. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages have historically limited such impacts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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