Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?
Geopolitica·Iran

Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?

icon for Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?
Geopolitica·Iran

Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?

nov 1

nov 1

$32,381 Vol.

30 set 2026
Polymarket

$32,381 Vol.

Polymarket

30 settembre

$2,394 Vol.

19%

31 ottobre

$1,670 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's September 16 expulsion of an Iranian embassy official—citing activities incompatible with the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations and linked to security threats against opposition figures, Jewish, and Israeli interests—has renewed focus on diplomatic expulsions involving Iran. Iran responded the next day with a reciprocal expulsion of a Swedish diplomat. These moves fit a pattern seen in prior cases, including Australia's 2025 removal of Iran's ambassador over alleged antisemitic attacks and U.S. actions against Iranian UN personnel. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing bilateral frictions driven by host-country concerns over interference, espionage, and influence operations, with potential for further actions by European states or others monitoring similar risks. No immediate scheduled events appear poised to trigger the next expulsion.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,381
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sweden's September 16 expulsion of an Iranian embassy official—citing activities incompatible with the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations and linked to security threats against opposition figures, Jewish, and Israeli interests—has renewed focus on diplomatic expulsions involving Iran. Iran responded the next day with a reciprocal expulsion of a Swedish diplomat. These moves fit a pattern seen in prior cases, including Australia's 2025 removal of Iran's ambassador over alleged antisemitic attacks and U.S. actions against Iranian UN personnel. Trader sentiment reflects ongoing bilateral frictions driven by host-country concerns over interference, espionage, and influence operations, with potential for further actions by European states or others monitoring similar risks. No immediate scheduled events appear poised to trigger the next expulsion.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,381
Data di fine
1 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Qualche paese espellerà un ambasciatore statunitense entro il 31 dicembre?

Qualche paese espellerà un ambasciatore statunitense entro il 31 dicembre?

13%
Sì
icon for Il Canada espelle l'ambasciatore degli Stati Uniti entro il 31 dicembre?

Il Canada espelle l'ambasciatore degli Stati Uniti entro il 31 dicembre?

4%
Sì
icon for Qualcun paese espellerà un ambasciatore israeliano entro il 31 dicembre?

Qualcun paese espellerà un ambasciatore israeliano entro il 31 dicembre?

32%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "31 ottobre" a 27%, seguito da "30 settembre" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 27¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?" ha generato $32.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 19, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?" è "31 ottobre" a 27%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "30 settembre" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Un altro ambasciatore iraniano espulso da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.