Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession under Article 111 of the constitution. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics managed affairs until the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, in early March. Ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel, IRGC appointments to key posts, and Mojtaba's extended public absence have concentrated day-to-day authority among military and security figures. Traders monitor statements from the new leadership, any signs of internal dissent among clerics, and escalation or de-escalation signals in the Strait of Hormuz and regional proxy dynamics for indications of further instability or consolidation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$25,149,119 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
2%
31 ottobre
6%
30 novembre
9%
31 dicembre
14%
30 giugno 2027
28%
$25,149,119 Vol.
30 settembre
$1,028,671 Vol.
2%
31 ottobre
$71,760 Vol.
6%
30 novembre
$36,648 Vol.
9%
31 dicembre
$4,434,373 Vol.
14%
30 giugno 2027
$290,529 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession under Article 111 of the constitution. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics managed affairs until the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, in early March. Ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel, IRGC appointments to key posts, and Mojtaba's extended public absence have concentrated day-to-day authority among military and security figures. Traders monitor statements from the new leadership, any signs of internal dissent among clerics, and escalation or de-escalation signals in the Strait of Hormuz and regional proxy dynamics for indications of further instability or consolidation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
Volume
$25,149,119Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession under Article 111 of the constitution. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics managed affairs until the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, in early March. Ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel, IRGC appointments to key posts, and Mojtaba's extended public absence have concentrated day-to-day authority among military and security figures. Traders monitor statements from the new leadership, any signs of internal dissent among clerics, and escalation or de-escalation signals in the Strait of Hormuz and regional proxy dynamics for indications of further instability or consolidation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$25,149,119Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, triggering an emergency succession under Article 111 of the constitution. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics managed affairs until the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader's son, in early March. Ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel, IRGC appointments to key posts, and Mojtaba's extended public absence have concentrated day-to-day authority among military and security figures. Traders monitor statements from the new leadership, any signs of internal dissent among clerics, and escalation or de-escalation signals in the Strait of Hormuz and regional proxy dynamics for indications of further instability or consolidation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti