Abbas Araghchi continues to serve as Iran’s foreign minister with no reported legal proceedings, investigations, or domestic political actions targeting him as of late September 2026. He has been conducting high-level diplomacy at the UN General Assembly in New York, including bilateral meetings on the Strait of Hormuz reopening, regional security, and post-conflict negotiations, which aligns with his ongoing official duties and international travel. Trader consensus at 99.5% for no arrest by September 28 reflects the absence of any verifiable triggers in the narrow three-day window, consistent with historical patterns where senior Iranian officials in active diplomatic roles face low short-term risk of sudden detention. Remaining scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen internal power shift or late-breaking domestic development, though none have surfaced in credible reporting.