Anthropic holds the clearest edge in trader sentiment for the top Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by its Claude variants dominating the current math-specific leaderboard with scores above 1520. Multiple Opus and Fable iterations lead human preference votes on complex reasoning tasks, outpacing Google’s Gemini 3.x flash models and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series. Recent OpenAI claims of solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem via multi-agent systems have lifted its implied odds, yet arena results show limited immediate impact. Competitive dynamics hinge on rapid frontier releases, with labs iterating frequently on reasoning depth and benchmark performance; any major update from Google, OpenAI, or open-weight contenders like Z.ai or Moonshot before November could shift the closely contested field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 45.2%
Google 19%
OpenAI 19%
Z.ai 12.5%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
45%
19%
OpenAI
19%
Z.ai
13%
Nvidia
4%
Meituan
4%
ByteDance
3%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Thinky
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Anthropic 45.2%
Google 19%
OpenAI 19%
Z.ai 12.5%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$2,978 Vol.
45%
$1,240 Vol.
19%
OpenAI
$1,217 Vol.
19%
Z.ai
$173 Vol.
13%
Nvidia
$479 Vol.
4%
Meituan
$1,346 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$424 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$133 Vol.
2%
Alibaba
$149 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$126 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$129 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$133 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$133 Vol.
1%
Meta
$133 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$133 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$148 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$165 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$133 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$133 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$133 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$133 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the clearest edge in trader sentiment for the top Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by its Claude variants dominating the current math-specific leaderboard with scores above 1520. Multiple Opus and Fable iterations lead human preference votes on complex reasoning tasks, outpacing Google’s Gemini 3.x flash models and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series. Recent OpenAI claims of solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem via multi-agent systems have lifted its implied odds, yet arena results show limited immediate impact. Competitive dynamics hinge on rapid frontier releases, with labs iterating frequently on reasoning depth and benchmark performance; any major update from Google, OpenAI, or open-weight contenders like Z.ai or Moonshot before November could shift the closely contested field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$9,770Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the clearest edge in trader sentiment for the top Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by its Claude variants dominating the current math-specific leaderboard with scores above 1520. Multiple Opus and Fable iterations lead human preference votes on complex reasoning tasks, outpacing Google’s Gemini 3.x flash models and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series. Recent OpenAI claims of solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem via multi-agent systems have lifted its implied odds, yet arena results show limited immediate impact. Competitive dynamics hinge on rapid frontier releases, with labs iterating frequently on reasoning depth and benchmark performance; any major update from Google, OpenAI, or open-weight contenders like Z.ai or Moonshot before November could shift the closely contested field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$9,770Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the clearest edge in trader sentiment for the top Text Arena Math model by end of November, driven by its Claude variants dominating the current math-specific leaderboard with scores above 1520. Multiple Opus and Fable iterations lead human preference votes on complex reasoning tasks, outpacing Google’s Gemini 3.x flash models and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series. Recent OpenAI claims of solving the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem via multi-agent systems have lifted its implied odds, yet arena results show limited immediate impact. Competitive dynamics hinge on rapid frontier releases, with labs iterating frequently on reasoning depth and benchmark performance; any major update from Google, OpenAI, or open-weight contenders like Z.ai or Moonshot before November could shift the closely contested field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan