Anthropic holds a dominant 77.6% implied probability as the second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end-September because its Claude models, including Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, continue to deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Pro, alongside consistent developer preference for web frontend and fullstack tasks. OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release briefly led the community-driven Code Arena WebDev leaderboard in early September, creating a narrow contest that positions Anthropic as the clear runner-up in trader consensus. Other labs trail significantly due to lower scores on web-specific evaluations and fewer production-grade coding tools. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited upcoming model launches or major benchmark updates are expected to shift these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 77.8%
OpenAI 19.6%
Alibaba 2.7%
Moonshot 2.5%
$68,735 Vol.
$68,735 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
20%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 77.8%
OpenAI 19.6%
Alibaba 2.7%
Moonshot 2.5%
$68,735 Vol.
$68,735 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$13,593 Vol.
78%
OpenAI
$7,977 Vol.
20%
Alibaba
$16,925 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$12,101 Vol.
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,291 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$1,731 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$1,852 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$1,699 Vol.
<1%
$1,642 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$3,054 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$598 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,468 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$617 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a dominant 77.6% implied probability as the second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end-September because its Claude models, including Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, continue to deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Pro, alongside consistent developer preference for web frontend and fullstack tasks. OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release briefly led the community-driven Code Arena WebDev leaderboard in early September, creating a narrow contest that positions Anthropic as the clear runner-up in trader consensus. Other labs trail significantly due to lower scores on web-specific evaluations and fewer production-grade coding tools. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited upcoming model launches or major benchmark updates are expected to shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Volume
$68,735Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a dominant 77.6% implied probability as the second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end-September because its Claude models, including Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, continue to deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Pro, alongside consistent developer preference for web frontend and fullstack tasks. OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release briefly led the community-driven Code Arena WebDev leaderboard in early September, creating a narrow contest that positions Anthropic as the clear runner-up in trader consensus. Other labs trail significantly due to lower scores on web-specific evaluations and fewer production-grade coding tools. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited upcoming model launches or major benchmark updates are expected to shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$68,735Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a dominant 77.6% implied probability as the second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab by end-September because its Claude models, including Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, continue to deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Pro, alongside consistent developer preference for web frontend and fullstack tasks. OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra release briefly led the community-driven Code Arena WebDev leaderboard in early September, creating a narrow contest that positions Anthropic as the clear runner-up in trader consensus. Other labs trail significantly due to lower scores on web-specific evaluations and fewer production-grade coding tools. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited upcoming model launches or major benchmark updates are expected to shift these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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