Congressional negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation, including bipartisan drafts like the Great American AI Act and Senate Commerce Committee proposals led by Sens. Thune and Klobuchar, remain stalled amid partisan divides over regulatory scope, liability standards, and preemption of state laws. The House adjourned in mid-September without advancing major measures and will not reconvene until after November midterms, leaving limited floor time before year-end. President Trump has publicly opposed broad federal oversight, aligning with industry concerns about competitiveness versus China, while progressive proposals such as the Sanders-Casar superintelligence ban lack Republican support. These factors, combined with the short remaining legislative calendar, underpin trader consensus on low enactment odds by December 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11% peluang
$166,431 Vol.
$166,431 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
11% peluang
$166,431 Vol.
$166,431 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation, including bipartisan drafts like the Great American AI Act and Senate Commerce Committee proposals led by Sens. Thune and Klobuchar, remain stalled amid partisan divides over regulatory scope, liability standards, and preemption of state laws. The House adjourned in mid-September without advancing major measures and will not reconvene until after November midterms, leaving limited floor time before year-end. President Trump has publicly opposed broad federal oversight, aligning with industry concerns about competitiveness versus China, while progressive proposals such as the Sanders-Casar superintelligence ban lack Republican support. These factors, combined with the short remaining legislative calendar, underpin trader consensus on low enactment odds by December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$166,431Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation, including bipartisan drafts like the Great American AI Act and Senate Commerce Committee proposals led by Sens. Thune and Klobuchar, remain stalled amid partisan divides over regulatory scope, liability standards, and preemption of state laws. The House adjourned in mid-September without advancing major measures and will not reconvene until after November midterms, leaving limited floor time before year-end. President Trump has publicly opposed broad federal oversight, aligning with industry concerns about competitiveness versus China, while progressive proposals such as the Sanders-Casar superintelligence ban lack Republican support. These factors, combined with the short remaining legislative calendar, underpin trader consensus on low enactment odds by December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Congressional negotiations on frontier AI safety legislation, including bipartisan drafts like the Great American AI Act and Senate Commerce Committee proposals led by Sens. Thune and Klobuchar, remain stalled amid partisan divides over regulatory scope, liability standards, and preemption of state laws. The House adjourned in mid-September without advancing major measures and will not reconvene until after November midterms, leaving limited floor time before year-end. President Trump has publicly opposed broad federal oversight, aligning with industry concerns about competitiveness versus China, while progressive proposals such as the Sanders-Casar superintelligence ban lack Republican support. These factors, combined with the short remaining legislative calendar, underpin trader consensus on low enactment odds by December 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan