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Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

icon for Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Elon Musk 95.4%

Warren Buffett 1.1%

Mark Zuckerberg <1%

Larry Ellison <1%

Polymarket

$1,933,014 Vol.

Elon Musk 95.4%

Warren Buffett 1.1%

Mark Zuckerberg <1%

Larry Ellison <1%

Polymarket

$1,933,014 Vol.

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$196,641 Vol.

95%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$92,780 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$133,858 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$61,667 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$369,153 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$180,859 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$312,202 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$89,152 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$345,078 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$151,624 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s commanding lead in the richest-person market stems from his concentrated stakes in SpaceX and Tesla, which have propelled his net worth to roughly $900 billion—more than triple the nearest rivals—following SpaceX’s June 2026 IPO that briefly made him history’s first trillionaire. Recent August gains of 33% in SpaceX shares and 18% in Tesla reinforced trader confidence in sustained momentum through year-end. With only months remaining, the wide gap leaves little room for challengers like Larry Page or Bernard Arnault to close the distance absent extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a steep, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or an unprecedented surge elsewhere, scenarios traders currently price as remote given the locked-up stakes and current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,933,014
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk’s commanding lead in the richest-person market stems from his concentrated stakes in SpaceX and Tesla, which have propelled his net worth to roughly $900 billion—more than triple the nearest rivals—following SpaceX’s June 2026 IPO that briefly made him history’s first trillionaire. Recent August gains of 33% in SpaceX shares and 18% in Tesla reinforced trader confidence in sustained momentum through year-end. With only months remaining, the wide gap leaves little room for challengers like Larry Page or Bernard Arnault to close the distance absent extraordinary market swings. An upset would require a steep, sustained decline in Musk’s core holdings or an unprecedented surge elsewhere, scenarios traders currently price as remote given the locked-up stakes and current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,933,014
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elon Musk" di 95%, diikuti oleh "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 95¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" telah menghasilkan $1.9 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" adalah "Elon Musk" di 95%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 95% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.