Strong trader consensus around NASDAQ at 89.6% implied probability stems from multiple September 2026 reports confirming Anthropic’s selection of the exchange for its planned IPO, targeting a November debut after an October investor day. This aligns with Nasdaq’s recent wins securing major AI and tech listings, including SpaceX, and offers immediate eligibility for the Nasdaq-100 Index—advantages not matched by NYSE. Recent Q3 results shared with investors on October 14, showing revenue surging 45% to $16.8 billion with adjusted profitability, have reinforced momentum toward a near-term listing without altering the exchange choice. While product timelines and regulatory reviews can shift, the market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these verified preparations.