Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Teknologi·Aplikasi

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Teknologi·Aplikasi

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

Ended: Sep 11

Sep 25

Ended: Sep 11

Sep 25

ChatGPT 100.0%

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps <1%

Vinted <1%

7 Brew Coffee <1%

Polymarket

$11,991 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps <1%

Vinted <1%

7 Brew Coffee <1%

Polymarket

$11,991 Vol.

icon for MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps

$1,166 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$8,076 Vol.

Yes

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$862 Vol.

No

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$288 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$363 Vol.

No

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$148 Vol.

No

icon for ESPN Fantasy Sports & More

ESPN Fantasy Sports & More

$1,088 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT’s commanding 97.6% market-implied probability for the #1 free U.S. App Store spot on September 11 stems from its consistent top rankings in recent days, driven by ongoing user engagement with its large language model capabilities, a September 8 app update with bug fixes, and OpenAI’s September 10 announcement of new in-app experiences and an Apps SDK that expand functionality for free and paid users. As the leading productivity app with broad adoption, it benefits from network effects and regular feature refreshes like image generation and voice mode. A realistic challenge could arise from a sudden viral surge in another category leader, such as a seasonal sports or shopping app, or an unexpected promotional push that briefly overtakes downloads.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$11,991
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT’s commanding 97.6% market-implied probability for the #1 free U.S. App Store spot on September 11 stems from its consistent top rankings in recent days, driven by ongoing user engagement with its large language model capabilities, a September 8 app update with bug fixes, and OpenAI’s September 10 announcement of new in-app experiences and an Apps SDK that expand functionality for free and paid users. As the leading productivity app with broad adoption, it benefits from network effects and regular feature refreshes like image generation and voice mode. A realistic challenge could arise from a sudden viral surge in another category leader, such as a seasonal sports or shopping app, or an unexpected promotional push that briefly overtakes downloads.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$11,991
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Terkait

icon for Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

59%
icon for Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

50%
icon for Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

53%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "ChatGPT" di 100%, diikuti oleh "MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" telah menghasilkan $12K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" adalah "ChatGPT" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.