Lula maintains a commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, driven by his status as a native son of the state and longstanding dominance in the Northeast region. Recent September 2026 polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data consistently shows him at 55% or higher in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, with other candidates such as Augusto Cury and Renan Santos in single digits. This reflects sustained voter preferences in Lula’s home state, where he secured over 66% in 2022, reinforced by local alliances and campaign plans for a pre-election visit. Trader consensus assigns him overwhelming probability for first place, though shifts could arise from late developments like turnout changes among key demographics or broader national economic signals affecting regional sentiment before the October vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 97.3%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,325 Vol.
$10,325 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 97.3%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,325 Vol.
$10,325 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,107 Vol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$402 Vol.
1%
Zema
$399 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$334 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$329 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$344 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$344 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$333 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$366 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$421 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$344 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$301 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$300 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, driven by his status as a native son of the state and longstanding dominance in the Northeast region. Recent September 2026 polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data consistently shows him at 55% or higher in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, with other candidates such as Augusto Cury and Renan Santos in single digits. This reflects sustained voter preferences in Lula’s home state, where he secured over 66% in 2022, reinforced by local alliances and campaign plans for a pre-election visit. Trader consensus assigns him overwhelming probability for first place, though shifts could arise from late developments like turnout changes among key demographics or broader national economic signals affecting regional sentiment before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$10,325Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, driven by his status as a native son of the state and longstanding dominance in the Northeast region. Recent September 2026 polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data consistently shows him at 55% or higher in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, with other candidates such as Augusto Cury and Renan Santos in single digits. This reflects sustained voter preferences in Lula’s home state, where he secured over 66% in 2022, reinforced by local alliances and campaign plans for a pre-election visit. Trader consensus assigns him overwhelming probability for first place, though shifts could arise from late developments like turnout changes among key demographics or broader national economic signals affecting regional sentiment before the October vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,325Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding position in Pernambuco for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, driven by his status as a native son of the state and longstanding dominance in the Northeast region. Recent September 2026 polling from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data consistently shows him at 55% or higher in first-round scenarios, more than 20 points ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, with other candidates such as Augusto Cury and Renan Santos in single digits. This reflects sustained voter preferences in Lula’s home state, where he secured over 66% in 2022, reinforced by local alliances and campaign plans for a pre-election visit. Trader consensus assigns him overwhelming probability for first place, though shifts could arise from late developments like turnout changes among key demographics or broader national economic signals affecting regional sentiment before the October vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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