Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall for one of the two DF Senate seats, leaving the contest for second place between Bia Kicis (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), and Erika Kokay (PT). Bia Kicis holds a slight edge in recent surveys amid PL party coordination and support from the presidential ticket, while Leila benefits from incumbency and PDT positioning. The October 4 election, with voters selecting two distinct candidates, keeps the second-place outcome sensitive to turnout among undecided voters and any late shifts in alliances or campaign visibility. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling gap and the structural dynamics of the multi-candidate field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBia Kicis 43.5%
Leila do Vôlei 35%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.3%
Erika Kokay 3.0%
$44,130 Vol.
$44,130 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
50%
Leila do Vôlei
31%
Michelle Bolsonaro
5%
Erika Kokay
3%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Bia Kicis 43.5%
Leila do Vôlei 35%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.3%
Erika Kokay 3.0%
$44,130 Vol.
$44,130 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
$10,838 Vol.
50%
Leila do Vôlei
$15,367 Vol.
31%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$4,989 Vol.
5%
Erika Kokay
$7,037 Vol.
3%
Avenir Rosa
$437 Vol.
<1%
David Horn
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 Vol.
<1%
Marley
$392 Vol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$878 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 Vol.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 Vol.
<1%
Tiago
$546 Vol.
<1%
Zanata
$417 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall for one of the two DF Senate seats, leaving the contest for second place between Bia Kicis (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), and Erika Kokay (PT). Bia Kicis holds a slight edge in recent surveys amid PL party coordination and support from the presidential ticket, while Leila benefits from incumbency and PDT positioning. The October 4 election, with voters selecting two distinct candidates, keeps the second-place outcome sensitive to turnout among undecided voters and any late shifts in alliances or campaign visibility. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling gap and the structural dynamics of the multi-candidate field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volume
$44,130Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall for one of the two DF Senate seats, leaving the contest for second place between Bia Kicis (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), and Erika Kokay (PT). Bia Kicis holds a slight edge in recent surveys amid PL party coordination and support from the presidential ticket, while Leila benefits from incumbency and PDT positioning. The October 4 election, with voters selecting two distinct candidates, keeps the second-place outcome sensitive to turnout among undecided voters and any late shifts in alliances or campaign visibility. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling gap and the structural dynamics of the multi-candidate field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$44,130Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall for one of the two DF Senate seats, leaving the contest for second place between Bia Kicis (PL), Leila do Vôlei (PDT), and Erika Kokay (PT). Bia Kicis holds a slight edge in recent surveys amid PL party coordination and support from the presidential ticket, while Leila benefits from incumbency and PDT positioning. The October 4 election, with voters selecting two distinct candidates, keeps the second-place outcome sensitive to turnout among undecided voters and any late shifts in alliances or campaign visibility. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling gap and the structural dynamics of the multi-candidate field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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