Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima trader pricing for first-round presidential preference, reflecting consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other registered candidates. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place the Liberal Party nominee at 52-62 percent support among Roraima voters, driven by the state's established alignment with the PL and the Bolsonaro political network. Jair Bolsonaro's prior endorsement and the party's success in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Other contenders, including Lula and smaller-party names, register single-digit or low double-digit figures locally. A late scandal, sharp turnout shift among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation behind a rival could still narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner in this northern state.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Lula 1.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
98%

Lula
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Zema
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Lula 1.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
98%

Lula
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Zema
<1%

Clariana Barao
<1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Ronaldo Caiado
<1%

Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%

Samara
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima trader pricing for first-round presidential preference, reflecting consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other registered candidates. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place the Liberal Party nominee at 52-62 percent support among Roraima voters, driven by the state's established alignment with the PL and the Bolsonaro political network. Jair Bolsonaro's prior endorsement and the party's success in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Other contenders, including Lula and smaller-party names, register single-digit or low double-digit figures locally. A late scandal, sharp turnout shift among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation behind a rival could still narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner in this northern state.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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