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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%

Lula 1.5%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
BARU

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%

Lula 1.5%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$3,652 Vol.

98%

icon for Lula

Lula

$688 Vol.

1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$575 Vol.

1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$581 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$498 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$492 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$416 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$418 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima trader pricing for first-round presidential preference, reflecting consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other registered candidates. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place the Liberal Party nominee at 52-62 percent support among Roraima voters, driven by the state's established alignment with the PL and the Bolsonaro political network. Jair Bolsonaro's prior endorsement and the party's success in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Other contenders, including Lula and smaller-party names, register single-digit or low double-digit figures locally. A late scandal, sharp turnout shift among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation behind a rival could still narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner in this northern state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,628
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima trader pricing for first-round presidential preference, reflecting consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other registered candidates. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place the Liberal Party nominee at 52-62 percent support among Roraima voters, driven by the state's established alignment with the PL and the Bolsonaro political network. Jair Bolsonaro's prior endorsement and the party's success in the June 2026 gubernatorial supplementary election further reinforce this positioning ahead of the October 4 vote. Other contenders, including Lula and smaller-party names, register single-digit or low double-digit figures locally. A late scandal, sharp turnout shift among undecided voters, or unexpected consolidation behind a rival could still narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner in this northern state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,628
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Lula" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima" adalah "Flavio Bolsonaro" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lula" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Roraima" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.