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icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 85%

Morgan Stanley 14%

Bank of America 1.1%

Wells Fargo <1%

Polymarket

$50,388 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 85%

Morgan Stanley 14%

Bank of America 1.1%

Wells Fargo <1%

Polymarket

$50,388 Vol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$13,266 Vol.

85%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$8,600 Vol.

14%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$2,483 Vol.

1%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$3,234 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$2,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

icon for UBS

UBS

$3,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$3,929 Vol.

<1%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$9,084 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs commands the strongest market-implied odds for lead underwriter in OpenAI’s IPO because of its recent selection as lead-left on the SpaceX offering and its primary advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley following OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. Trader consensus reflects Goldman’s deeper tech-sector relationships, execution track record on large artificial-intelligence listings, and influence over allocation decisions. Morgan Stanley’s smaller share stems from its comparable but secondary bookrunner position in both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. The shift of OpenAI’s timeline into 2027 after SpaceX volatility has not altered bank positioning, with resolution expected to hinge on official prospectus disclosures once the company advances its roadshow.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,388
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs commands the strongest market-implied odds for lead underwriter in OpenAI’s IPO because of its recent selection as lead-left on the SpaceX offering and its primary advisory role alongside Morgan Stanley following OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. Trader consensus reflects Goldman’s deeper tech-sector relationships, execution track record on large artificial-intelligence listings, and influence over allocation decisions. Morgan Stanley’s smaller share stems from its comparable but secondary bookrunner position in both OpenAI and Anthropic preparations. The shift of OpenAI’s timeline into 2027 after SpaceX volatility has not altered bank positioning, with resolution expected to hinge on official prospectus disclosures once the company advances its roadshow.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,388
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

66%
icon for Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

81%
icon for Apakah kapitalisasi pasar OpenAI saat penutupan IPO melebihi $1T?

Apakah kapitalisasi pasar OpenAI saat penutupan IPO melebihi $1T?

95%
Ya

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Goldman Sachs" di 85%, diikuti oleh "Morgan Stanley" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 85¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" telah menghasilkan $50.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" adalah "Goldman Sachs" di 85%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Morgan Stanley" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.