Morgan Stanley’s 65.5% implied probability reflects its lead role in Anthropic’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent lead-left positioning for investor pricing discussions ahead of a potential October Nasdaq listing. Reports from early September 2026 indicate the bank is favored for the strategic advisory mandate on the AI firm’s record-scale IPO, supported by its track record in large technology offerings. Goldman Sachs holds a 5.5% share tied to its expected stabilization-agent duties, while JPMorgan and others with prior debt financing commitments remain in supporting syndicate positions at under 1% each. Trader consensus prices these outcomes amid Anthropic’s confidential S-1 timeline and $2 trillion valuation target, with the credit facility commitments serving as a key signal of underwriting hierarchy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMorgan Stanley 70%
Goldman Sachs 7%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,236 Vol.
$64,236 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
66%
Goldman Sachs
7%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 70%
Goldman Sachs 7%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,236 Vol.
$64,236 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
66%
Goldman Sachs
7%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 65.5% implied probability reflects its lead role in Anthropic’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent lead-left positioning for investor pricing discussions ahead of a potential October Nasdaq listing. Reports from early September 2026 indicate the bank is favored for the strategic advisory mandate on the AI firm’s record-scale IPO, supported by its track record in large technology offerings. Goldman Sachs holds a 5.5% share tied to its expected stabilization-agent duties, while JPMorgan and others with prior debt financing commitments remain in supporting syndicate positions at under 1% each. Trader consensus prices these outcomes amid Anthropic’s confidential S-1 timeline and $2 trillion valuation target, with the credit facility commitments serving as a key signal of underwriting hierarchy.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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