**Forecast consensus positions 17–19°C as the most likely range for Warsaw’s September 11 high.** Multiple models, including GFS, ICON-EU, and ECMWF guidance, indicate daytime maxima of 17–19°C under moderate to overcast skies, light westerly to southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following the sharp cooldown after September 9’s 29°C peak. Recent runs show limited diurnal warming due to increased cloud cover and a modest onshore or northerly component, keeping afternoon readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a deeper drop below 17°C. This narrow clustering of official and ensemble outputs explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C (45%) and the adjacent 17°C/19°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 24 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
18°C 45%
17°C 24%
19°C 23%
16°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
24%
18°C
45%
19°C
23%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 24%
19°C 23%
16°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$40 Vol.
2%
15°C
$110 Vol.
4%
16°C
$435 Vol.
6%
17°C
$1,542 Vol.
24%
18°C
$583 Vol.
45%
19°C
$750 Vol.
23%
20°C
$319 Vol.
4%
21°C
$255 Vol.
2%
22°C
$118 Vol.
1%
23°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus positions 17–19°C as the most likely range for Warsaw’s September 11 high.** Multiple models, including GFS, ICON-EU, and ECMWF guidance, indicate daytime maxima of 17–19°C under moderate to overcast skies, light westerly to southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following the sharp cooldown after September 9’s 29°C peak. Recent runs show limited diurnal warming due to increased cloud cover and a modest onshore or northerly component, keeping afternoon readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a deeper drop below 17°C. This narrow clustering of official and ensemble outputs explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C (45%) and the adjacent 17°C/19°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,616Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus positions 17–19°C as the most likely range for Warsaw’s September 11 high.** Multiple models, including GFS, ICON-EU, and ECMWF guidance, indicate daytime maxima of 17–19°C under moderate to overcast skies, light westerly to southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following the sharp cooldown after September 9’s 29°C peak. Recent runs show limited diurnal warming due to increased cloud cover and a modest onshore or northerly component, keeping afternoon readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a deeper drop below 17°C. This narrow clustering of official and ensemble outputs explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C (45%) and the adjacent 17°C/19°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,616Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus positions 17–19°C as the most likely range for Warsaw’s September 11 high.** Multiple models, including GFS, ICON-EU, and ECMWF guidance, indicate daytime maxima of 17–19°C under moderate to overcast skies, light westerly to southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following the sharp cooldown after September 9’s 29°C peak. Recent runs show limited diurnal warming due to increased cloud cover and a modest onshore or northerly component, keeping afternoon readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a deeper drop below 17°C. This narrow clustering of official and ensemble outputs explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C (45%) and the adjacent 17°C/19°C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to outliers that would require significant model shifts in the final 24 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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