**Forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional outputs positions a daily maximum of 16–17°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on September 24, 2026, driving the leading market-implied odds of 40.5% for 17°C and 25.5% for 16°C.** Persistent northwest flow and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs several degrees below the late-September climatological average near 18–19°C. Multiple guidance runs show afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius with only low precipitation risk, though minor model spread around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed probability distribution favoring 16–18°C. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of recent model cycles against typical forecast adjustments within 24 hours of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 24?
17°C 41%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
15°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
26%
17°C
41%
18°C
20%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 41%
16°C 26%
18°C 20%
15°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
$95 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$165 Vol.
1%
14°C
$68 Vol.
2%
15°C
$944 Vol.
14%
16°C
$1,850 Vol.
26%
17°C
$1,291 Vol.
41%
18°C
$559 Vol.
20%
19°C
$496 Vol.
3%
20°C
$31 Vol.
2%
21°C
$100 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional outputs positions a daily maximum of 16–17°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on September 24, 2026, driving the leading market-implied odds of 40.5% for 17°C and 25.5% for 16°C.**
Persistent northwest flow and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs several degrees below the late-September climatological average near 18–19°C. Multiple guidance runs show afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius with only low precipitation risk, though minor model spread around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed probability distribution favoring 16–18°C. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of recent model cycles against typical forecast adjustments within 24 hours of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,699Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional outputs positions a daily maximum of 16–17°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on September 24, 2026, driving the leading market-implied odds of 40.5% for 17°C and 25.5% for 16°C.**
Persistent northwest flow and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs several degrees below the late-September climatological average near 18–19°C. Multiple guidance runs show afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius with only low precipitation risk, though minor model spread around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed probability distribution favoring 16–18°C. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of recent model cycles against typical forecast adjustments within 24 hours of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,699Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional outputs positions a daily maximum of 16–17°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on September 24, 2026, driving the leading market-implied odds of 40.5% for 17°C and 25.5% for 16°C.** Persistent northwest flow and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping highs several degrees below the late-September climatological average near 18–19°C. Multiple guidance runs show afternoon temperatures peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius with only low precipitation risk, though minor model spread around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed probability distribution favoring 16–18°C. Traders appear to weigh the consistency of recent model cycles against typical forecast adjustments within 24 hours of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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