Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 25?
25°C 39%
29°C 26%
28°C 26%
27°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
17%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
22%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
29°C 26%
28°C 26%
27°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 25, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$256Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$256Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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