Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and southerly winds over Amsterdam on September 25, favoring daytime radiative heating and highs near 20–21°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. These conditions stem from a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and drawing milder air northward, modestly above the late-September climatological mean of roughly 17–18°C. Minor model spread in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while any unexpected increase in high cloudiness would limit warming. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether peak readings reach 22°C or remain capped near 21°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 25?
22°C 46%
21°C 33%
20°C 15%
23°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
15%
21°C
33%
22°C
46%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 46%
21°C 33%
20°C 15%
23°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
15%
21°C
33%
22°C
46%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate mostly clear skies and southerly winds over Amsterdam on September 25, favoring daytime radiative heating and highs near 20–21°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. These conditions stem from a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and drawing milder air northward, modestly above the late-September climatological mean of roughly 17–18°C. Minor model spread in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while any unexpected increase in high cloudiness would limit warming. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether peak readings reach 22°C or remain capped near 21°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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