Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July's 55.6 peak informs the closely matched probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50s for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI. August's 54.6 reading reflected softer new orders at 53.7 and a decline in backlogs to 51.8, alongside easing employment growth to 51.2, even as production held firm near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1. Persistent tariff pressures on steel and aluminum, Middle East-related supply disruptions, and AI-driven component shortages continue to elevate input costs and stretch lead times, tempering demand momentum while supporting output. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether these headwinds sustain the recent slowdown or allow stabilization near recent averages around 54.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया54.0 से 54.9 21%
53.0 से 53.9 20%
55.0 से 55.9 19%
52.0 से 52.9 18%
नया
नया
1 अक्टू, 2026
<50.0
1%
50.0 से 50.9
1%
51.0 से 51.9
6%
52.0 से 52.9
23%
53.0 से 53.9
20%
54.0 से 54.9
21%
55.0 से 55.9
20%
56.0 से 56.9
15%
57.0 से 57.9
12%
58.0+
4%
54.0 से 54.9 21%
53.0 से 53.9 20%
55.0 से 55.9 19%
52.0 से 52.9 18%
नया
नया
1 अक्टू, 2026
<50.0
$205 वॉल्यूम
1%
50.0 से 50.9
$982 वॉल्यूम
1%
51.0 से 51.9
$702 वॉल्यूम
6%
52.0 से 52.9
$141 वॉल्यूम
23%
53.0 से 53.9
$725 वॉल्यूम
20%
54.0 से 54.9
$2,093 वॉल्यूम
21%
55.0 से 55.9
$185 वॉल्यूम
20%
56.0 से 56.9
$78 वॉल्यूम
15%
57.0 से 57.9
$2,367 वॉल्यूम
12%
58.0+
$214 वॉल्यूम
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July's 55.6 peak informs the closely matched probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50s for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI. August's 54.6 reading reflected softer new orders at 53.7 and a decline in backlogs to 51.8, alongside easing employment growth to 51.2, even as production held firm near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1. Persistent tariff pressures on steel and aluminum, Middle East-related supply disruptions, and AI-driven component shortages continue to elevate input costs and stretch lead times, tempering demand momentum while supporting output. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether these headwinds sustain the recent slowdown or allow stabilization near recent averages around 54.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,692समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July's 55.6 peak informs the closely matched probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50s for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI. August's 54.6 reading reflected softer new orders at 53.7 and a decline in backlogs to 51.8, alongside easing employment growth to 51.2, even as production held firm near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1. Persistent tariff pressures on steel and aluminum, Middle East-related supply disruptions, and AI-driven component shortages continue to elevate input costs and stretch lead times, tempering demand momentum while supporting output. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether these headwinds sustain the recent slowdown or allow stabilization near recent averages around 54.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$7,692समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July's 55.6 peak informs the closely matched probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 50s for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI. August's 54.6 reading reflected softer new orders at 53.7 and a decline in backlogs to 51.8, alongside easing employment growth to 51.2, even as production held firm near 58.3 and the prices index remained elevated at 71.1. Persistent tariff pressures on steel and aluminum, Middle East-related supply disruptions, and AI-driven component shortages continue to elevate input costs and stretch lead times, tempering demand momentum while supporting output. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on whether these headwinds sustain the recent slowdown or allow stabilization near recent averages around 54.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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