Recent volatility in U.S. nonfarm payrolls, including August's 162,000 gain after a revised July reading near breakeven levels, has left trader consensus split across the 50k–150k range for September. A stable 4.1% unemployment rate, moderating wage growth near 3.1% year-over-year, and sector rebounds in leisure and government employment support moderate hiring, while seasonal adjustments, prior-month revisions, and policy effects such as Temporary Protected Status changes introduce downside risks. With the breakeven pace of job growth estimated near 40k–50k amid slower labor-force expansion, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty ahead of the October 2 release and its implications for monetary policy expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया50,000 से 100,000 27%
100k से 150k 23%
0 से 50 हज़ार 14%
-50k से 0 10%
नया
नया
2 अक्टू, 2026
<-50k
7%
-50k से 0
10%
0 से 50 हज़ार
14%
50,000 से 100,000
27%
100k से 150k
23%
150,000 से 200,000
7%
200k+
5%
50,000 से 100,000 27%
100k से 150k 23%
0 से 50 हज़ार 14%
-50k से 0 10%
नया
नया
2 अक्टू, 2026
<-50k
$921 वॉल्यूम
7%
-50k से 0
$945 वॉल्यूम
10%
0 से 50 हज़ार
$1,121 वॉल्यूम
14%
50,000 से 100,000
$680 वॉल्यूम
27%
100k से 150k
$3,869 वॉल्यूम
23%
150,000 से 200,000
$560 वॉल्यूम
7%
200k+
$704 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent volatility in U.S. nonfarm payrolls, including August's 162,000 gain after a revised July reading near breakeven levels, has left trader consensus split across the 50k–150k range for September. A stable 4.1% unemployment rate, moderating wage growth near 3.1% year-over-year, and sector rebounds in leisure and government employment support moderate hiring, while seasonal adjustments, prior-month revisions, and policy effects such as Temporary Protected Status changes introduce downside risks. With the breakeven pace of job growth estimated near 40k–50k amid slower labor-force expansion, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty ahead of the October 2 release and its implications for monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,800समाप्ति तिथि
3 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent volatility in U.S. nonfarm payrolls, including August's 162,000 gain after a revised July reading near breakeven levels, has left trader consensus split across the 50k–150k range for September. A stable 4.1% unemployment rate, moderating wage growth near 3.1% year-over-year, and sector rebounds in leisure and government employment support moderate hiring, while seasonal adjustments, prior-month revisions, and policy effects such as Temporary Protected Status changes introduce downside risks. With the breakeven pace of job growth estimated near 40k–50k amid slower labor-force expansion, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty ahead of the October 2 release and its implications for monetary policy expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
वॉल्यूम
$8,800समाप्ति तिथि
3 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent volatility in U.S. nonfarm payrolls, including August's 162,000 gain after a revised July reading near breakeven levels, has left trader consensus split across the 50k–150k range for September. A stable 4.1% unemployment rate, moderating wage growth near 3.1% year-over-year, and sector rebounds in leisure and government employment support moderate hiring, while seasonal adjustments, prior-month revisions, and policy effects such as Temporary Protected Status changes introduce downside risks. With the breakeven pace of job growth estimated near 40k–50k amid slower labor-force expansion, the dispersed market-implied odds reflect uncertainty ahead of the October 2 release and its implications for monetary policy expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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