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icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Politique·Suède

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Politique·Suède

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

$24,931 Vol.

31 janv. 2027
Polymarket

$24,931 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$4,909 Vol.

69%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$1,795 Vol.

74%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$2,851 Vol.

66%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$1,880 Vol.

28%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$3,469 Vol.

28%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$692 Vol.

29%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$2,505 Vol.

25%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$6,608 Vol.

22%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$224 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s parliamentary election on September 13 will determine the composition of the next government after four years of the Tidö-supported centre-right coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats. Recent Novus polling shows the centre-left bloc of Social Democrats, Left, Greens and Centre holding a narrow lead near 50 percent, while the right bloc stands around 48 percent, with the race tightening sharply in the final weeks. The Liberals’ rise above the 4 percent threshold has eased coalition-majority concerns, though bloc seat totals remain close to the 175-seat mark needed for control. Post-election negotiations will hinge on which parties can form a viable majority, with the Sweden Democrats seeking greater cabinet influence and the Centre Party positioned as a potential swing actor.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volume
$24,931
Date de fin
31 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s parliamentary election on September 13 will determine the composition of the next government after four years of the Tidö-supported centre-right coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, backed by the Sweden Democrats. Recent Novus polling shows the centre-left bloc of Social Democrats, Left, Greens and Centre holding a narrow lead near 50 percent, while the right bloc stands around 48 percent, with the race tightening sharply in the final weeks. The Liberals’ rise above the 4 percent threshold has eased coalition-majority concerns, though bloc seat totals remain close to the 175-seat mark needed for control. Post-election negotiations will hinge on which parties can form a viable majority, with the Sweden Democrats seeking greater cabinet influence and the Centre Party positioned as a potential swing actor.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volume
$24,931
Date de fin
31 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Connexes

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Le Parti du Centre (C) remportera-t-il des sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?

100%
Oui
icon for Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?

Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?

99%
Oui
icon for Élection parlementaire en Suède : les Libéraux remportent-ils des sièges ?

Élection parlementaire en Suède : les Libéraux remportent-ils des sièges ?

79%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Green Party (MP) » à 74%, suivi de « Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) » à 69%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » a généré $24.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 19, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » est « Green Party (MP) » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) » à 69%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.