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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto
Politique·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto
Politique·Canada

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto

Olivia Chow 90%

Brad Bradford 6%

John Tory <1%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Polymarket

$148,337 Vol.

Olivia Chow 90%

Brad Bradford 6%

John Tory <1%

Marco Mendicino <1%

Polymarket

$148,337 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$39,308 Vol.

90%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$39,096 Vol.

6%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$12,442 Vol.

1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$16,119 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$8,844 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$9,182 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$11,359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$11,987 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus around her re-election prospects. Recent polling from early September shows her maintaining a double-digit lead over city councillor Brad Bradford among decided and leaning voters, with support near 50 percent amid stable trends since August. Chow formally entered the contest in May and launched her campaign on September 9, emphasizing property tax increases aligned with inflation while highlighting secured provincial and federal funding for housing, transit, and shelters. Bradford, the primary challenger, has not narrowed the gap despite regional strength in Etobicoke, while other candidates including former federal minister Chris Alexander trail significantly. The election coincides with broader municipal voting, and voter concerns over affordability and taxes continue to shape the contest with roughly six weeks remaining.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$148,337
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 mayoral race, reflected in trader consensus around her re-election prospects. Recent polling from early September shows her maintaining a double-digit lead over city councillor Brad Bradford among decided and leaning voters, with support near 50 percent amid stable trends since August. Chow formally entered the contest in May and launched her campaign on September 9, emphasizing property tax increases aligned with inflation while highlighting secured provincial and federal funding for housing, transit, and shelters. Bradford, the primary challenger, has not narrowed the gap despite regional strength in Etobicoke, while other candidates including former federal minister Chris Alexander trail significantly. The election coincides with broader municipal voting, and voter concerns over affordability and taxes continue to shape the contest with roughly six weeks remaining.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$148,337
Date de fin
26 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Josh Morgan va-t-il gagner l'élection municipale de Londres en 2026 ?

Josh Morgan va-t-il gagner l'élection municipale de Londres en 2026 ?

89%
Oui
icon for Carolyn Parrish remportera-t-elle l’élection municipale de Mississauga en 2026 ?

Carolyn Parrish remportera-t-elle l’élection municipale de Mississauga en 2026 ?

55%
Oui
icon for Rob Burton va-t-il gagner l'élection du maire d'Oakville en 2026 ?

Rob Burton va-t-il gagner l'élection du maire d'Oakville en 2026 ?

57%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Olivia Chow » à 90%, suivi de « Brad Bradford » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 90¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » a généré $148.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » est « Olivia Chow » à 90%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 90% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Brad Bradford » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Toronto » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.