Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican tilt and his established record as the sitting representative. The district, encompassing rural and suburban counties in southern Middle Tennessee including Murfreesboro, delivered him roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, while Democrat Victoria Broderick prevailed in a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the partisan baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically compress the margin before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show limited evidence of such disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$40,167 Vol.
$40,167 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
93%
Victoria Broderick (D)
8%
$40,167 Vol.
$40,167 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
$20,563 Vol.
93%
Victoria Broderick (D)
$19,604 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican tilt and his established record as the sitting representative. The district, encompassing rural and suburban counties in southern Middle Tennessee including Murfreesboro, delivered him roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, while Democrat Victoria Broderick prevailed in a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the partisan baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically compress the margin before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show limited evidence of such disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$40,167Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican tilt and his established record as the sitting representative. The district, encompassing rural and suburban counties in southern Middle Tennessee including Murfreesboro, delivered him roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, while Democrat Victoria Broderick prevailed in a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the partisan baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically compress the margin before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show limited evidence of such disruption.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,167Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican tilt and his established record as the sitting representative. The district, encompassing rural and suburban counties in southern Middle Tennessee including Murfreesboro, delivered him roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66 percent, while Democrat Victoria Broderick prevailed in a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the partisan baseline. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically compress the margin before the November 3 general election, though current conditions show limited evidence of such disruption.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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