Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÂge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ?
Âge du candidat démocrate à la présidence de 2028 ?
Moins de 45 ans 36%
45-54 22%
55-64 17%
65-74 9.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2028
Moins de 45 ans
42%
45-54
22%
55-64
20%
65-74
10%
75-84
6%
85 ans ou plus
5%
Moins de 45 ans 36%
45-54 22%
55-64 17%
65-74 9.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2028
Moins de 45 ans
$1,024 Vol.
42%
45-54
$571 Vol.
22%
55-64
$247 Vol.
20%
65-74
$143 Vol.
10%
75-84
$135 Vol.
6%
85 ans ou plus
$148 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Volume
$2,268Date de fin
31 août 2028Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,268Date de fin
31 août 2028Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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