Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after winning the August 6 primary with 43.6% of the vote against former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary and other challengers. The district, redrawn in 2026 and covering eastern Nashville suburbs through northern Middle Tennessee to the Cumberland Plateau, carries a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding 30 points, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles. Mike Croley won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a race rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district’s voting patterns and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout or margins in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,021 Vol.
$14,021 Vol.
Johnny Garrett (R)
95%
Mike Croley (D)
6%
$14,021 Vol.
$14,021 Vol.
Johnny Garrett (R)
95%
Mike Croley (D)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after winning the August 6 primary with 43.6% of the vote against former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary and other challengers. The district, redrawn in 2026 and covering eastern Nashville suburbs through northern Middle Tennessee to the Cumberland Plateau, carries a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding 30 points, consistent with the seat’s performance in recent cycles. Mike Croley won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a race rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district’s voting patterns and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout or margins in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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