Flash drought driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation has expanded rapidly across the South-Central United States through early September 2026, intensifying conditions in Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and adjacent states while long-term deficits sustain D4 exceptional drought in parts of Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming. The U.S. Drought Monitor for the period ending September 1 showed D4 covering roughly 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with ongoing degradation noted in the latest weekly assessments from the National Drought Mitigation Center and NOAA partners. Authoritative monitoring relies on integrated indicators including soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation health compared against historical baselines, with the Saffir-Simpson or similar intensity scales not applicable here; instead, D4 denotes the most severe multi-month impacts. The Climate Prediction Center’s outlooks favor continued warmth and limited relief across much of the central and southern regions through mid-September, while the next USDM update and any heavier rainfall events could shift state-level D4 presence before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSécheresse exceptionnelle (J4) par état — semaine du 8 septembre 2026

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

Californie
7%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
26%

Floride
19%

Géorgie
25%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiane
5%

Maryland
41%

Minnesota
40%

Mississippi
62%

Missouri
39%

Montana
39%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
76%

New Jersey
26%

Nouveau-Mexique
63%

Caroline du Nord
77%

Dakota du Nord
37%

Ohio
38%

Oklahoma
61%

Oregon
97%

Pennsylvanie
26%

Caroline du Sud
27%

Dakota du Sud
41%

Tennessee
41%

Texas
63%

Utah
73%

Virginie
7%

Washington
7%

Virginie-Occidentale
2%

Wisconsin
41%

Wyoming
37%
$2,751 Vol.

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

Californie
7%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
26%

Floride
19%

Géorgie
25%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiane
5%

Maryland
41%

Minnesota
40%

Mississippi
62%

Missouri
39%

Montana
39%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
76%

New Jersey
26%

Nouveau-Mexique
63%

Caroline du Nord
77%

Dakota du Nord
37%

Ohio
38%

Oklahoma
61%

Oregon
97%

Pennsylvanie
26%

Caroline du Sud
27%

Dakota du Sud
41%

Tennessee
41%

Texas
63%

Utah
73%

Virginie
7%

Washington
7%

Virginie-Occidentale
2%

Wisconsin
41%

Wyoming
37%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRésolveur
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Source de résolution
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Flash drought driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation has expanded rapidly across the South-Central United States through early September 2026, intensifying conditions in Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and adjacent states while long-term deficits sustain D4 exceptional drought in parts of Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming. The U.S. Drought Monitor for the period ending September 1 showed D4 covering roughly 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with ongoing degradation noted in the latest weekly assessments from the National Drought Mitigation Center and NOAA partners. Authoritative monitoring relies on integrated indicators including soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation health compared against historical baselines, with the Saffir-Simpson or similar intensity scales not applicable here; instead, D4 denotes the most severe multi-month impacts. The Climate Prediction Center’s outlooks favor continued warmth and limited relief across much of the central and southern regions through mid-September, while the next USDM update and any heavier rainfall events could shift state-level D4 presence before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes