Recent heavy rainfall and a cold air intrusion have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts and observations pointing to a daily maximum near 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity near 85–100%, and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C, reflecting suppressed solar heating and evaporative cooling from widespread precipitation totaling tens of millimeters. Earlier in the month, highs exceeded 30°C before the front arrived, but current model consensus and station data show the peak unlikely to reach prior levels or drop below 21°C given the steady temperature trace. Resolution depends on the official Chengdu meteorological station reading for the calendar day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 10 septembre ?
22°C 44%
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$15,554 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,554 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
25%
22°C
44%
23°C
27%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 44%
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$15,554 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,554 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$375 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,197 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,117 Vol.
25%
22°C
$2,251 Vol.
44%
23°C
$1,084 Vol.
27%
24°C
$1,558 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,021 Vol.
2%
26°C
$480 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou plus
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a cold air intrusion have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts and observations pointing to a daily maximum near 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity near 85–100%, and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C, reflecting suppressed solar heating and evaporative cooling from widespread precipitation totaling tens of millimeters. Earlier in the month, highs exceeded 30°C before the front arrived, but current model consensus and station data show the peak unlikely to reach prior levels or drop below 21°C given the steady temperature trace. Resolution depends on the official Chengdu meteorological station reading for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,554Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a cold air intrusion have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts and observations pointing to a daily maximum near 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity near 85–100%, and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C, reflecting suppressed solar heating and evaporative cooling from widespread precipitation totaling tens of millimeters. Earlier in the month, highs exceeded 30°C before the front arrived, but current model consensus and station data show the peak unlikely to reach prior levels or drop below 21°C given the steady temperature trace. Resolution depends on the official Chengdu meteorological station reading for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,554Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and a cold air intrusion have driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts and observations pointing to a daily maximum near 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover, moderate humidity near 85–100%, and light northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C, reflecting suppressed solar heating and evaporative cooling from widespread precipitation totaling tens of millimeters. Earlier in the month, highs exceeded 30°C before the front arrived, but current model consensus and station data show the peak unlikely to reach prior levels or drop below 21°C given the steady temperature trace. Resolution depends on the official Chengdu meteorological station reading for the calendar day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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