**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 12 septembre ?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73 °F <1%
$44,427 Vol.
$44,427 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Oui
80-81°F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
Non
30-30,6°C
Non
88°F ou plus
Non
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F ou moins <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73 °F <1%
$44,427 Vol.
$44,427 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$214 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$374 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$731 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$3,512 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$11,606 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$12,575 Vol.
Oui
80-81°F
$8,577 Vol.
Non
82-83°F
$5,285 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$754 Vol.
Non
30-30,6°C
$322 Vol.
Non
88°F ou plus
$477 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$44,427Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,427Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Official National Weather Service observations from stations including LaGuardia and Central Park recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on September 12, 2026, placing the high squarely in the 78-79°F bin.** Mid-September climatology for New York City centers on an average daily high near 78°F, and 2026 conditions aligned closely with this baseline amid stable high pressure and light winds that limited both daytime heating and cooling. Numerical weather prediction guidance from the National Weather Service and commercial models converged on this narrow range days ahead, with minimal spread in ensemble members. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong observational and model agreement. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare post-analysis revision to the official record or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the designated resolution station, both of which are historically uncommon for this well-monitored urban site.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus élevée à New York le 21 septembre sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F ?
100%
Oui
La température maximale à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 64 et 65°F le 22 septembre ?
45%
Oui
La température la plus basse à New York le 21 septembre sera-t-elle comprise entre 62 et 63 °F ?
99%
Oui
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