Trader sentiment on the September 2026 US monthly inflation print centers on a tight contest between 0.4% and 0.5% month-over-month CPI gains, with implied probabilities of 28.5% and 33.5% respectively. This narrow spread reflects uncertainty over the inflation trajectory amid recent labor market softening and Federal Reserve communications that have tempered expectations for near-term policy easing. Energy price volatility, persistent shelter costs, and core goods trends continue to shape analyst estimates ahead of the release. Key upcoming data on retail sales, producer prices, and employment could refine market-implied odds, while the closely matched probabilities underscore the role of real-capital positioning in aggregating views on these swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,5 % 37%
0,4 % 29%
0,6 % 14%
0,2 % 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 oct. 2026
≤0,0 %
3%
0,1 %
5%
0,2 %
7%
0,3 %
5%
0,4 %
29%
0,5 %
37%
0,6 %
14%
0,7 %
5%
≥0,8 %
5%
0,5 % 37%
0,4 % 29%
0,6 % 14%
0,2 % 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 oct. 2026
≤0,0 %
$132 Vol.
3%
0,1 %
$110 Vol.
5%
0,2 %
$149 Vol.
7%
0,3 %
$150 Vol.
5%
0,4 %
$886 Vol.
29%
0,5 %
$3,068 Vol.
37%
0,6 %
$149 Vol.
14%
0,7 %
$130 Vol.
5%
≥0,8 %
$746 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on the September 2026 US monthly inflation print centers on a tight contest between 0.4% and 0.5% month-over-month CPI gains, with implied probabilities of 28.5% and 33.5% respectively. This narrow spread reflects uncertainty over the inflation trajectory amid recent labor market softening and Federal Reserve communications that have tempered expectations for near-term policy easing. Energy price volatility, persistent shelter costs, and core goods trends continue to shape analyst estimates ahead of the release. Key upcoming data on retail sales, producer prices, and employment could refine market-implied odds, while the closely matched probabilities underscore the role of real-capital positioning in aggregating views on these swing factors.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,520Date de fin
15 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on the September 2026 US monthly inflation print centers on a tight contest between 0.4% and 0.5% month-over-month CPI gains, with implied probabilities of 28.5% and 33.5% respectively. This narrow spread reflects uncertainty over the inflation trajectory amid recent labor market softening and Federal Reserve communications that have tempered expectations for near-term policy easing. Energy price volatility, persistent shelter costs, and core goods trends continue to shape analyst estimates ahead of the release. Key upcoming data on retail sales, producer prices, and employment could refine market-implied odds, while the closely matched probabilities underscore the role of real-capital positioning in aggregating views on these swing factors.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,520Date de fin
15 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the September 2026 US monthly inflation print centers on a tight contest between 0.4% and 0.5% month-over-month CPI gains, with implied probabilities of 28.5% and 33.5% respectively. This narrow spread reflects uncertainty over the inflation trajectory amid recent labor market softening and Federal Reserve communications that have tempered expectations for near-term policy easing. Energy price volatility, persistent shelter costs, and core goods trends continue to shape analyst estimates ahead of the release. Key upcoming data on retail sales, producer prices, and employment could refine market-implied odds, while the closely matched probabilities underscore the role of real-capital positioning in aggregating views on these swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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